BC Election Polls 2026

The 1,153 unweighted BC respondents are weighted to 1,000; the decided base of 908 is reported on the weighted scale. The web post says 1,154 respondents; the report's methodology pages say 1,153, which is used here. The provincial chart groups OneBC, CentreBC and other parties as Other at 7%. The report shows OneBC and CentreBC separately only by region and by past vote, so no province-wide figure is derived for them here. The pollster states that no margin of error can be calculated for this online sample.

Shares are from the decided-and-leaning table on page 2 of the data tables, which splits Other party (3%) into independent or non-affiliated candidates, CentreBC and OneBC at 1% each. The report gives a weighted sample of 793; the tables show 795 unweighted respondents. Among all respondents, 7% are undecided.

The media-release PDF is titled October 13, 2026, but the PDF file and Leger's web post are both dated October 14, the date used here. Another party or an independent candidate is grouped at 2% and is not assigned to a named party.

Another party or an independent candidate is grouped at 1% and is not assigned to a party. Among all likely voters, 15% are undecided.

Shares are from the publisher's release; no data tables were published and the decided-and-leaning sample size is not reported. Another party is at 1% and is not assigned to a party. The publisher reports a margin of error of ±4.3%, 19 times out of 20.

Conducted in partnership with Global BC. The release states 1,356 respondents, but its own breakdown (1,001 online and 350 by telephone) and the data tables give 1,351, which is used here. Some other party or candidate is grouped at 2% and is not assigned to a registered party. The release excludes the 25% who are undecided or express no preference.

The publisher also reports 4% for other parties. Those votes are not assigned to any party in this dataset. Among all respondents on the initial question, 23% are undecided.

Mainstreet published this report only as a PDF on its website, without a release page. The file was posted at 05:05 UTC on October 6 (10:05 p.m. Pacific on October 5) and was first reported on October 6. Shares are from the leaning-included question with undecided voters removed (page 11). The ballot question offered no other-party option.

Earlier ARI release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 19 release is newer. Shares are from the decided-and-leaning totals in the full report's regional chart (page 4). That chart groups OneBC, CentreBC and other options as Other party, so they are not assigned to a party here.

Half the sample saw a ballot naming each party's leader and half saw one without names; the published headline and these shares combine both versions (page 8). Some other party is grouped at 2% and is not assigned to a party. Later Pollara waves were presented only in a podcast video, without a written release or data tables, and are not included.

Earlier Ipsos release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 13 release is newer. Conducted in partnership with Global BC. Some other party or candidate is grouped at 2% and is not assigned to a registered party. The release excludes the 27% who are undecided or express no preference.

Earlier Liaison release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 9 release is newer. The publisher also reports 3% for other parties. Those votes are not assigned to any party in this dataset.

Earlier Leger release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 14 release is newer. Release date follows the September 29 media-release document title; Leger's web post is dated September 30. Another party or an independent candidate is grouped at 2% and is not assigned to a named party.

Earlier Innovative release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 20 release is newer. Uses the deck's September 28 release date; the web post is dated September 29. The 649 unweighted BC respondents are weighted to 500; the decided base of 411 is reported on the weighted scale. The chart shows OneBC 4%, CentreBC 3% and Other 3%, but its footnote says OneBC (n=15) and CentreBC (n=14) are included in Other because of small samples. The charted values are retained as published and Other is not assigned to a party. The pollster states that no margin of error can be calculated for this online sample.

Earlier ARI release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 5 release is newer. The pollster reports 20% initially undecided among all respondents. The shares shown here use decided and leaning voters. Independent/non-affiliated is separately reported.

Earlier Liaison release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the September 29 release is newer. The publisher also reports 3% for parties it does not separate. Those votes are not assigned to any party in this dataset.

Fieldwork was before the election call. The cover and methodology text give September 4-18; one methodology line says September 4-15, so the wider range is used. The 561 BC respondents by region (560 by age and gender) are weighted to 500; the decided base of 399 is reported on the weighted scale. OneBC, CentreBC and other parties are grouped as Other at 4% and are not assigned. Historical context, outside the current mean.

Earlier Angus Reid release; kept for history, excluded from current mean because the September 24 release is newer.

Earlier Ipsos release; kept for history, excluded from the current mean because the October 1 release is newer. Some other party or candidate is grouped at 4% and is not assigned to a registered party. The release excludes the 28% who are undecided or express no preference.

Outside the 14-day summary window. Different decided-voter wording; shown as historical context only.

Outside the 14-day summary window. Publisher groups 3.6% as another party; it is not assigned to a registered party here.

Primary table QP5/QP6 continues from page 7 to page 8. Total unweighted sample is 755; weighted total is 761. The 6% other-party response is grouped and is not assigned to named parties. Historical context, outside the current mean.

Uses the ordinary ballot question on page 3, not the separate hypothetical ballot including a revived BC Liberal party. Another party / independent is grouped at 2%. The page publication date is June 8; its body dateline says June 6. Historical context, outside the current mean.

Another party or an independent candidate is grouped at 6%; OneBC and CentreBC are not separately reported in this table. Historical context, outside the current mean.

Q_Land2 reports decided voters, not the decided-and-leaning wording used in some other ARI releases. The decided base is 595 unweighted / 600 weighted. Other party is grouped at 4%; rounding leaves the full reported distribution at 99%. Uses the May 5 release dateline and document date; the webpage header is May 4.

Uses the April 1 release dateline and PDF date; the webpage header says March 31. Tables show 500 unweighted / 499 weighted respondents, while the release calls the sample 499. The named-party figures are 44/42/9; the same table reports other party at 7%, producing an inconsistent total of 102%. That grouped residual is not allocated or silently corrected.

Ordinary provincial voting intention from the original release. Unspecified residual responses are not allocated to named parties.

Fieldwork preceded OneBC's formation. A proposed unnamed party featuring Brodie, Kealy and Armstrong received 1%; it is not relabelled as OneBC here. Ballot options therefore differ from later releases.

Other parties and independent candidates are grouped at 3%; no named-party values are inferred from that group.

Final pre-election release, not an exit poll or official result. Other parties and independents are grouped at 3%.

Ordinary campaign voting intention. Other parties and independent candidates are grouped at 3%.

Other parties and independent candidates are grouped at 2%.

After BC United suspended its 2024 campaign. Its absent share is not treated as zero. Other parties and independents are grouped at 3%; percentages reflect the source's rounding.

BC United is listed under the party name used in this release. Other parties and independents are grouped at 2%.

Ordinary provincial ballot. The source reports another 2% for other parties and independents; percentages are not renormalized.

Uses the actual-party ballot, not the separate May 24 hypothetical BC United leadership questions. Other parties and independents are grouped at 2%.

Other parties and independents are grouped at 1%; rounding is preserved.

The source also groups 2% as other parties or independent candidates; rounding is preserved.

Party names follow the release. Other parties and independents are grouped at 1%.

BC United is the name used after the BC Liberal rebrand. Pre-rebrand BC Liberal observations are displayed separately under their original label.

BC Liberal is the historical provincial party name, not the federal Liberal Party.

Uses the ordinary provincial ballot in the release, not its separate prospective-leader approval questions.

Historical provincial party labels are retained; omitted residuals are not assigned to current parties.

Final pre-election poll, not the official result or an exit poll.

The source values are retained without allocating rounded residuals.

Campaign vote intention for the October 24, 2020 provincial election. Historical party names are retained.

Ordinary provincial vote intention. This is not a COVID-19 approval-rating measure.

British Columbia provincial election preference, not federal voting intention.

Uses the total column of the vote-intention-by-age table on page 25 and methodology on page 1. Other is grouped at 4%. The report is dated May 4; the webpage header says May 6. No historic residual is relabelled as a current party.